Reverend Thomas Bayes lived in Tunbridge Wells - now there's a thing

The other night I was in Tunbridge Wells happily wandering along in the dark autumn drizzle. The damp orange street light was skimming off the cold black road surfaces. I was off to see Norman Watt-Roy again. He's great.
Quite by chance I noticed Bayes' plaque on the gate post.

A couple of my earlier posts:

Another very simple way of looking at Bayes theorem

The very best Bayes explanation? Actually I don't think so now. I re-read it a few months back and it was confusing.